Frogboy, I hope you will read this post in its entirety before preparing a response/counterargument...I'm going to start with this quote here:
CO2 is a greenhouse gas. If you get enough of it, it will cause temperatures to rise. No one is disputing that.
You are fully acknowledging that CO2 in and of itself can cause temperature to rise...we can discuss the degree of the effect later, but your statements have repeatedly demonstrated this -- you are fully aware that carbon dioxide independently can cause temperature increases...please note I'm not saying (or implying you are saying) that CO2 has caused temperature increases, merely that it can cause temperature increases...
Just so we are on the same page, we've all established (and I think agree) that CO2 can raise temperatures all on its own...now, I think (if I understand your argument correctly) you would at this point question whether that increase is significant, and that is indeed a very fair question, so let us look at the history...
Here again, I think you and the scientific community are on the same page:
There is a very reasonable hypothesis that warming temperatures unlock carbon traps which results in more CO2 in the atmosphere which exacerbates the problem. That's fine. Warming temperatures unlock Co2, Methane and countless other carbon-based molecules. And those additional green house gasses magnify the warming trend.
So, not only do you acknowledge that CO2 can theoretically raise temperatures, but you also acknowledge that it has historically raised temperatures...here is your statement again:
And those additional green house gasses magnify the warming trend.
Certainly an important distinction is to be made here...you, as well as the scientific community, are very clear on this -- greenhouse gases did NOT drive the increases in temperature....BUT (and this is a very important "but"), greenhouse gases were significant contributors to global warming...
The entire hypothesis (which, by your words "That's fine" I take to be agreeable to you) relies on the fact that the Milankovitch cycle is a very small contributor to historical temperature changes...the driving force, yes, but not the MAIN contributor...the hypothesis rather banks on greenhouse gases being the main contributor to temperature increases...again, NOT the driving force, but the main contributor nevertheless...
By this point, I hope it has clearly been established that greenhouse gases can cause temperature increases and those increases can indeed be significant...judging by your statements, you are fine with suggestions that greenhouse gases can raise temperatures, and I think you have to accept that those changes can be significant or else you will have to rescind on previous statements, which I have quoted again:
There is a very reasonable hypothesis that warming temperatures unlock carbon traps which results in more CO2 in the atmosphere which exacerbates the problem. That's fine.
You simply seem to take issue with the possibility that greenhouse gases could drive temperature changes:
So be thankful that CO2 isn't a significant driver of temperature.
You use an analogy with old newspapers to explain your thinking....
The analogy I gave earlier in thread was this: If I have a room full of old newspapers you can't blame it for starting a fire. Something else started the fire. Having a bunch of old newspapers in your room just made it worse.
Your analogy compares CO2 to old newspapers...the analogy fails because newspapers cannot start a fire on their own while CO2 can cause temperatures to increase on their own...I will repeat, just so we are clear, that I'm not saying (or again, implying you are saying) that CO2 has caused temperature increases, merely that it can cause temperature increases...
As I have shown though, your analogy is not logically sound...just because CO2 has not historically driven temperature changes doesn't mean it can't...
What concerns me about your viewpoint is that on one hand you seem to acknowledge CO2 has the ability to increase temperatures, but then on the other hand you preclude the possibility of it driving temperature increases and you bank solely on history to support your belief...you are so fixated on finding a historical example of CO2 driving temperature increases that you are not willing to accept that it is fully possible even if it hasn't happened before...
Let me use a better analogy...say there is a flame burning in a room and next to this flame is a wax canister filled with combustible gas...as the flame burns, it melts the wax which eventually releases the combustible gas and BOOM...this would be akin to Milankovitch cycles causing large amounts of greenhouse gases to release into the atmosphere, and those gases then causing significant temperature increases....
However, one could also simply just start pouring combustible gas into the room and also get a BOOM without the wax having to melt...this would be comparable to humans putting lots of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere directly...
In either case, you get a BOOM (or temperature increase)...