Tentatively, I step into this debate that has recently turned oh-so-intelligent and *gasp* agree with Wingman. At least in part. It's wrong to take much hope from polls. Even the Electoral college is too close to call. For a real sense of its fluctuations, click the animation for the EC polling results over the last year. And that explanation (that I am sure we all can read) admits that it is too soon for much optimism.
But I'll disagree with Wingman, as well. I wouldn't hold any hopes that any Dems likely to vote will be letting polling numbers keep them at home come election day. I still say it is going to be a sqeaker, either way. Temp fate all you want with your hubris. For my part, I'm going door to door and talking with folks about who they are voting for. Yeah, I get it shut in my face a bit. But also not. And based on my experience (unscientific as that is), there are a lot of folks who aren't sure how they're voting yet. But they seem to be tired of trickery yet are open for honest conversation and straight talk. So you and your "ilk" go try to dupe as many people as you like. I'm sure many more will call you an asshole than will respond, "Duh, okey dokey I'll be dere Wedday."